A Case for Philanthropic Leverage

Electoral Reform Is Upstream from Every Other Cause

Approval voting in general elections and top-4 pick-one primaries don't just fix elections — they unclog the bottleneck blocking progress on climate, healthcare, AI safety, poverty, and every other issue philanthropy tries to solve.

$593B
U.S. charitable giving in 2024 [source]
$6.8T
Federal spending in FY2024 — 11× all charity [source]
~0.001%
Of philanthropy goes to electoral reform [source]
↓ Scroll to see the argument

A tiny, unrepresentative primary electorate controls American policy

Most races are decided in low-turnout primaries, not general elections. The incentive structure is broken at the root.

Partisan Primaries

Only party-registered voters participate, in most states. Turnout: ~20% of eligible voters.

~20% turnout

Safe Seats & Gerrymandering

Only ~15% of House seats are competitive in the general election. The primary IS the election in 85% of districts.

85% decided in primary

Perverse Incentives

Politicians optimize for the ~10% of Americans who vote in their party's primary. Bipartisan problem-solving is punished.

~10% rule

Gridlock & Dysfunction

Congressional approval at ~15-17% heading into 2026. Two-thirds of Americans want significant structural changes to democracy. [source]

17% approval

Every downstream cause flows through the political system

No matter how much evidence exists for a policy, it must pass through elected officials who answer to primary voters — not the general public.

Upstream Root Cause

Broken Electoral Incentives

Primary voters are more ideological and less representative. Plurality voting punishes consensus candidates.

First-Order Effect

Polarization & Extremism

Politicians must play to their base or face a primary challenge. Moderates and problem-solvers are filtered out.

Second-Order Effect

Legislative Gridlock

Cross-partisan coalitions can't form. Evidence-based policy is dead on arrival. Government lurches between extremes.

Downstream Impact

Every Cause Area Is Blocked

Climate, healthcare, housing, AI governance, education, criminal justice — all require legislation that can't pass through a broken system.

Philanthropy spends 52× more influencing a broken system than fixing it

Spending to influence political outcomes vastly outpaces spending to improve the underlying political infrastructure. [source]

Influencing the Broken System

52×
More money lobbying, campaigning, and organizing within broken rules
Billions spent each election cycle to win seats —
in a game where the rules reward extremism
VS

Fixing the System Itself

Electoral reform receives a sliver of philanthropic attention
~0.001% of $593B in annual giving [source]

Two structural reforms that change the incentives

These aren't abstract theory — they've been adopted and tested in real U.S. elections.

01

Top-4 Pick-One Primaries

Open, Nonpartisan Primaries

All candidates run on one ballot. All voters can participate. The top four advance to the general election — regardless of party.

Adopted by Alaska voters in 2020, used in 2022 and 2024. Similar measures have appeared on ballots in Idaho, Nevada, and other states.

1

All candidates on one ballot — no party gatekeeping

2

All voters can participate — not just registered party members

3

Top 4 advance — voters get real choices in November

4

Candidates must appeal broadly to win

02

Approval Voting

General Election Method

Vote for as many candidates as you approve of. Most approvals wins. No spoilers. No vote-splitting. No wasted votes.

Used in St. Louis (2021–present). Previously used in Fargo, ND. Championed by the Center for Election Science.

1

Vote for every candidate you find acceptable

2

No fear of "wasting" your vote or spoiling the race

3

Consensus candidates — broadly acceptable to voters — win

4

Dead simple: no ranking, no new technology needed

Fix the incentives, unlock progress on everything

When politicians must appeal to broad electorates instead of narrow bases, evidence-based policy can finally advance.

Abundance & Growth — Cross-Partisan Collaboration

The $120M Abundance and Growth Fund explicitly seeks cross-partisan collaboration on housing, energy, innovation, and state capacity. But pick-one voting makes cross-partisan collaboration structurally impossible: a Republican who works with Democrats on housing gets primaried from the right; a Democrat who compromises on permitting reform gets primaried from the left. The YIMBY movement keeps hitting this wall. The problem isn’t that legislators don’t want to collaborate — it’s that the system punishes them when they do. Fix the incentive structure and cross-partisan legislating becomes safe.

Primary incentives block collaboration

AI Governance

Emerging technology moves faster than partisan legislatures can act. Bipartisan technical literacy is the only path to timely regulation — but primaries reward culture war, not frontier risk.

Blocked by dysfunction

Housing & Land Use

NIMBY vs. YIMBY, rent control vs. market solutions — pragmatic compromises die in primary elections where narrow constituencies hold veto power.

Blocked by extremism

Global Health

Foreign aid budgets and public health infrastructure are easy targets in primary season. Stable commitments require representatives who answer to the broad electorate.

Blocked by populism

Biosecurity

Pandemic preparedness requires sustained bipartisan investment. Partisan primaries reward candidates who defund agencies and undermine scientific institutions.

Blocked by short-termism

Animal Welfare

Factory farming regulation has broad public support but no legislative champions willing to spend political capital in a primary system that punishes it.

Blocked by lack of champions

Climate & Energy

Cross-partisan climate policy becomes viable when legislators don’t fear primary challenges for compromise. Energy abundance requires permitting reform that both parties block for different reasons.

Blocked by polarization

State Capacity

Effective governance requires institutional independence — the Fed, CBO, public health agencies — that authoritarian-captured governments actively undermine. Primary incentives reward dismantling institutions, not building them.

Blocked by institutional capture

Fiscal Responsibility

Debt and deficit reduction is popular in polls but toxic in primaries, where tax cuts and spending increases win votes from narrow bases.

Blocked by primary incentives

This movement is already winning

Real jurisdictions, real elections, real results — and a closing window to scale in 2026.

2018

Fargo adopts approval voting

First U.S. city to adopt approval voting for local elections. [source]

2020

Alaska adopts top-4 primaries + St. Louis adopts approval voting

Alaska voters pass Ballot Measure 2. St. Louis voters pass Prop D with 68% support. [source]

2022

First top-4 primaries held in Alaska

All voters participate in a single nonpartisan primary for the first time. Top 4 advance to general.

2025

Utah holds first approval voting special election

First use of approval voting to select a sitting officeholder. CES active in 5 states. Maryland shows 74.6% voter support for reform. [source]

2026 — The Window

Scale or stall

Reform organizations are active in multiple state legislatures. The 2026 midterm cycle is a critical window to build momentum before attention shifts to the presidential race. Learn more at Fortify Democracy.

2028+

Critical mass

If enough states and cities adopt these reforms, the demonstration effect makes adoption self-reinforcing at scale.

The highest-leverage intervention almost nobody funds

By any effective altruism framework — scale, neglectedness, tractability — electoral reform scores off the charts.

Federal Spending
$6,800,000,000,000
All U.S. Philanthropy
$593,000,000,000
Political Lobbying
$4,000,000,000
Electoral Reform
$6,000,000
LOGARITHMIC SCALE — each bar step = ~1,000× reduction

The political system allocates ~$6.8T annually. Reforming that system's incentive structure costs a tiny fraction of what we spend trying to influence it. [CBO] [EA Forum]

Fix the plumbing, not just the leaks

Every dollar spent on electoral reform is a dollar that multiplies the impact of every other philanthropic cause. The 2026 window is closing.